Editor’s note: Chris Moore is a partner at Redpoint Ventures where he focuses on making investments in consumer Internet, online marketing and SaaS companies. Follow him on his blog and Twitter @Moorski.
This year alone, there is an $11.4 billion mobile advertising opportunity,
which means there is tremendous upside for nimble and innovative
startups with disruptive mobile-first models. As we saw from Facebook
last year, the company was able to turn around and actually make
something of its mobile business
– a business that didn’t exist at the time of IPO. However, despite the
potential of the market, and Facebook’s early success, we’re still a
long way from realizing the promise of the mobile medium.
When looking at the opportunity, it’s clear there are a few core
challenges that need to be addressed quickly in this nascent market. The
startups that address these challenges first will be the companies to
watch.
The Problems That Need Solutions
In many ways, we’re at the same juncture with mobile advertising as
we were with the desktop web circa 1996-97. At that time we were limited
by basic ad-serving capabilities, browser cookies to track visits and
boring, static display ads. Search keyword advertising, the most
compelling ad format and targeting method the web has seen, was only in
its infancy (at Goto.com, which eventually became Overture) at the time.
Right now, the two most obvious hurdles to overcome are what smart
companies are focusing on: developing a reliable and privacy-safe method
for user targeting across apps, and developing smartphone native ad
formats.
Cross-App User Targeting. On the traditional desktop
web, browser cookies became a reasonably reliable and standardized
method for recognizing and storing attributes of any given user in
between visits to a site. Today roughly 80 percent of online ads
leverage cookies or some other form of a user-targeting mechanism.
In the mobile app world, an analogous, reliable and standardized
mechanism has not yet emerged across either iOS or Android, and until it
does, relevance-based targeting will be less effective in the mobile
environment and remain a giant missed opportunity for advertisers.
Currently there isn’t a robust way to track users across applications
after Apple deprecated UDID as a targeting mechanism. In order for
cross-app user targeting to be fully realized, the tracking of users in a
privacy-focused environment must be solved.
Smartphone Native Ad Formats. The first ad formats
utilized on smartphones were borrowed from the web. As a result, users
are inadvertently clicking on too-small-to-read banner ads, thus
ensuring annoyed users. Instead of a fluid and seamless experience,
users are pulled out of their task at hand and brought to un-optimized
web landing pages in the mobile browser.
The only way mobile ad monetization will flourish is when smartphone
native ad formats that enhance the immediate app experience are
developed. The good news is that we’re starting to see a few promising
native smartphone format candidates with notifications and Facebook’s
Sponsored Stories. There is still plenty of room for innovation, as
these formats aren’t 100 percent where they need to be. Users and
marketers alike can’t wait for some savvy startup to develop innovative
and reliable ad formats that fit within the app experience and engage
the user without disrupting the task at hand.
The Winner’s Circle
Once the dilemmas of cross app user targeting and smartphone native
ad formats are solved, there are some very promising areas within the
mobile environment that are poised for the taking:
Online-to-Online Ad Tech Providers. The ad-tech player who can
get the ambient context digital wallet and in-app context right for the
Walmarts and Coca-Colas of the world will be a really big deal. There will be several winners in this area, each focused on a particular vertical of offline-to-online.
Cost-Per-Lead Advertising. Yes, cost-per-lead advertising. The
web performance stepchild to cost-per-click could emerge as a
first-call citizen in the smartphone medium. Why? Well, the medium
happens to be attached to a phone, and guess what leads perform the
best: phone calls. The smartphone promises to connect this intent to buy
to a live person more seamlessly than any other medium to date. This
will lead to higher conversion rates and thus higher monetization rates.
Inadco, a Redpoint
portfolio company that started in the web CPL space, is one startup
helping these advertisers take advantage of the mobile phone.
Ambient Context and User Analytics Providers. The fundamental
problem of user targeting and analytics within the mobile world must be
solved. This solution will come from a clever startup, not the
underlying platform players Apple and Google. Just as Omniture emerged
to be an important platform company in web analytics, there will also be
similar companies built within the smartphone medium. Native mobile app
analytics companies like Flurry are promising, as are the emerging players in audience targeting like BlueKai (a Redpoint portfolio company).
While we are a far way from identifying the smartphone equivalent of
paid search, it will absolutely exist (it has to) and it will leverage
ambient targeting, the digital wallet and smartphone native formats that
interrupt but don’t disrupt the user from the task at hand.
The market is big and the current players are just starting to crop
up, which means the challenge is for the taking. The next two years will
undoubtedly be exciting years to see it all unfold – not only to see
who the winners will be, but also to see the innovations that make it
happen.
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